|
Revision |
Years Used |
Revision |
Years Used |
|
Second |
1917-1920 |
Seventh |
1958-1967 |
|
Third |
1921-1929 |
Eighth |
1968-1978 |
|
Fourth |
1930-1940 |
Ninth |
1979-1998 |
|
Fifth |
1941-1948 |
Tenth |
1999-Present |
|
Sixth |
1949-1957 |
|
|
Due to these revisions, some of which involve major changes,
year-to-year comparisons of deaths by cause can be misleading unless
such comparisons span a period of years in which only one revision was
used or in which the changes from one revision to another were minor.
In this Atlas, the International Classification of Diseases Eighth
Revision (ICD-8) was used for the coding of 1970 through 1974
underlying causes of death, the Ninth Revision for was used for years
1979-1989, and the Tenth Revision (ICD-10) was used for coding the
1999 through 2003 underlying causes of death. Two causes of death,
Alzheimer’s disease and HIV, were not yet classified at the time the
ICD-8 was issued. Changes from the ICD-8 to ICD-9 were minor but
differences between the ninth and tenth revisions are more apparent.
ICD-10 contains major changes, so that a greater or fewer number of
deaths are now assigned to certain causes than under ICD-9 rules.
Causes that changed the most include Alzheimer’s disease and
pneumonia.
Quartiles
The maps in the Florida Mortality Atlas are colored using a quartile
method. In this method, data (age-adjusted death rates) are calculated
and then ranked from lowest to highest for all 67 counties. Next, the
counties are divided into four groups. Each group is assigned a number
from 1 to 4. The counties with the lowest ranking rates are assigned
to the first quartile (1) and are shaded with the lightest color,
while the counties with the highest-ranking rates are assigned to the
fourth quartile (4) and are shaded with the darkest color. Because
quartiles are calculated using data from all 67 counties, the
color-coded map provides a relative ranking among counties.
Because mortality varies by county, the quartile limits are different
for each map, and the range of values represented by a given quartile
varies from map to map. Therefore, comparisons of the spatial patterns
of mortality across maps should be limited to comparing relative
differences between different groups (e.g. males to females or whites
to nonwhites). To determine whether the mortality rates were
absolutely higher or lower for one group than for another, the reader
must study the relevant legends and compare the quartile limits.
Rates
Much of community
health assessment involves describing the health status of a defined
community by looking at changes in the community over time or by
comparing health events in that community to events occurring in other
communities or the state as a whole. In making these comparisons, we
need to account for the fact that the number of health events depends
in part on the number of people in the community. To account for
growth in a community or to compare communities of different sizes, we
usually develop rates to provide the number of events per population
unit.
A rate consists
of a numerator and a denominator. The two numbers are divided, then
multiplied by a constant (such as 100,000) to provide the number per
100,000 population.
The numerator is the number of health events. This is
often the same as the number of people who experience an event, but
for some health conditions, one person may experience the event more
than once. For example, one individual may have multiple
hospitalizations for the same condition in a given year.
To measure incidence or prevalence of the condition, you
usually want to count people. To measure the public health burden, you
may want to count events. Actions based on the data may be different
depending on whether the rate represents many individuals with only
one event or a smaller number of individuals who have had many events.
It is customary to count only events that occur among the
population at risk.
The denominator is also known as the population at risk.
Everyone in the population at risk must be eligible to be counted in
the numerator if they have the event of interest. For example, in
looking at female cervical cancer, we cannot include men in the
population at risk.Once the
numerator and denominator are established, a decision must be made as
to the appropriate rate to use.
Crude and
Age-Adjusted Death Rates
Crude Death Rates
A crude rate is calculated by dividing the total number of
events in a specified time period by the total number of individuals
in the population who are at risk for these events and multiplying by
a constant, such as 1,000 or 100,000 [e.g., (numerator/denominator) ×
constant].
Example: The total crude death rate in Orange County for
2002 is the number of total deaths in Orange County (numerator)
divided by the population of Orange County in 2002 (denominator). The
result of this calculation is multiplied by 100,000 (constant) to
arrive at the 2002 crude death rate per 100,000 population for Orange
County.
(6,469 (total
deaths) / 962,531 (total population)) × 100,000 = 672.1 deaths per
100,000 population
Although useful for certain purposes, the crude death rate as
a comparative measure has a major shortcoming: it is a function of the
age distribution of the population at risk. For example, the
population at risk in one county may be primarily elderly persons ages
65 and older while the population at risk in another county may be
primarily of persons ages 40 to 50. Crude rates are recommended when a
summary measure is needed and it is not necessary or desirable to
adjust for other factors. For example, rates of infectious diseases,
such as tuberculosis and hepatitis, are usually not age adjusted,
because public health officials are interested in the overall burden
of disease in the total population irrespective of age.
Age-Adjusted Death Rates
The frequency with
which health events occur is almost always related to age. In fact,
the relationship of age to risk often dwarfs other important risk
factors. For example, acute respiratory infections are more common in
children of school age because of their immunologic susceptibility and
exposure to other children in schools. Chronic conditions, such as
arthritis and atherosclerosis, occur more frequently in older adults
because of a variety of physiologic consequences of aging. Mortality
rates tend to increase after the age of 40.
Because the
occurrence of many health conditions is related to age, the most
common adjustment for public health data is age adjustment. The
age-adjustment process removes differences in the age composition of
two or more populations to allow comparisons between these populations
independent of their age structure.
The age-adjusted
death rate is a summary measure that eliminates the effect of the
underlying age distribution of the population. The result is a figure
that represents the theoretical risk of mortality for a population, if
the population had an age distribution identical to that of a standard
population.
For example, a county’s age-adjusted death rate is the weighted
average of the age-specific death rates observed in that county, with
the weights derived from the age distribution in an external
population standard, such as the U.S. population.
In the past, the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS)
age-adjusted rates using the US 1940 standard population. Other
agencies used the US 1970 Standard. Beginning with 1999 data, federal
agencies began age-adjusting to the US 2000 Standard Million
Population.
Example: To calculate the
Age-Adjusted Death Rate, follow these steps:
1. Calculate death rates per 100,000 for each age group.
2. Multiply this rate
by the 2000 US population proportion. This is the standard 2000 US
population proportion, which FloridaCHARTS.com uses to calculate
age-adjusted death rates.
|
Age
|
2000
Proportion |
|
0-14 years |
0.021470 |
|
15 - 24
years |
0.138646 |
|
25 - 34
years |
0.135573 |
|
35 - 44
years |
0.162613 |
|
45 - 54
years |
0.134834 |
|
55 - 64
years |
0.087247 |
|
65 - 74
years |
0.066037 |
|
75 - 84
years |
0.044842 |
|
85 and over |
0.015508 |
|
All ages |
1.000000 |
3. Sum values for
all age groups to arrive at the Age-Adjusted Death Rate.
|
Age Groups |
Deaths |
Population |
Crude Rate
Per 100,000 |
Population
Proportion (2000) |
Age-Specific Rate |
|
0-14 |
62 |
1,950,000 |
3.2 |
0.021470 |
0.68704 |
|
15-24 |
82 |
1,210,000 |
6.8 |
0.138646 |
0.9427928 |
|
25-34 |
303 |
1,480,000 |
20.9 |
0.135573 |
2.8334757 |
|
35-44 |
686 |
1,400,000 |
49 |
0.162613 |
7.968037 |
|
45-54 |
1,630 |
1,020,000 |
159.8 |
0.134834 |
21.5464732 |
|
55-64 |
3,457 |
730,000 |
475.9 |
0.087247 |
41.5208473 |
|
65-74 |
6,352 |
580,000 |
1,093.4 |
0.066037 |
72.2048558 |
|
75-84 |
5,443 |
290,000 |
1,878.3 |
0.044842 |
84.2267286 |
|
85 + |
2,050 |
70,000 |
2,841.5 |
0.015508 |
44.065982 |
|
All Ages |
20,065 |
8,730,000 |
229.8 |
1.000000 |
276.0 |
Age-adjusted
death rates enable health professionals to measure health
conditions versus the distribution of persons by age. Age-adjusted
death rates are more useful than crude death rates when comparing
death trends from different populations. For instance, crude death
rates may show a disease to be low in County A when compared to
County B. But, is this the true picture of what is occurring in
these counties? Since crude death rates are sensitive to the
distribution of persons in the population, it could be that County
A’s rate is low because fewer people at-risk of dying live in
County A than in County B. Age-adjusted death rates can also help
to study death trends in a single county over time. Age-specific
death rates within the county may remain stationary over time, but
with an aging population the crude death rate may increase from
the higher number of persons at greater risk of dying.
Age-adjusted
rates are utilized throughout the Florida Mortality Atlas and the
following should be kept in mind:
- Age-adjusted rates answer the question: “How does the rate in my
county compare to the rate in another even though the
distribution of persons by age may vary?”
- Age-adjusted rates are specialized measurements and therefore
should not be compared with other types of rates
or be used to calculate the actual number of events.
- Age-adjusted rates can illuminate important trends by removing
age-related differences.
- Age-adjusted
rates using the same standard US populations (1940, 1970, or
2000) may be compared.Because of shifts in the distribution of
persons by age in each year, rates calculated
using the 1940 standard population, for
example, should not be compared to
rates calculated using the 2000 standard population.
Multi-Year Death
Rates
Rates based on small numbers of events can fluctuate widely
from year to year for reasons other than a true change in the
underlying frequency of occurrence of the event. This is
especially true in counties with small populations. To alleviate
this problem, a multi-year has been used instead of a single-year
rate.
A multi-year rate combines several years of data into one rate.
The Florida Health Atlas uses age-adjusted rates from five
consecutive years to calculate multi-year rates by using the
average of five years of the total number of deaths and the
average of five years of the population at risk to come up with a
single rate per 100,000 population.
Example: 5-Year Rate
|
Total Deaths in
Orange County |
|
Total
Population in Orange County |
|
Year |
Number of Deaths |
|
Year |
Population |
|
1999 |
6107 |
|
1999 |
864,197 |
|
2000 |
6282 |
|
2000 |
906,000 |
|
2001 |
6384 |
|
2001 |
936,749 |
|
2002 |
6469 |
|
2002 |
962,531 |
|
2003 |
6556 |
|
2003 |
989,962 |
|
5-Year Average:
31,798/ 5 = 6360 |
|
5-Year Average: 4,659,439/ 5=931,888
5-Year Rate: (6360 / 931,888) X 100,000 = 682.5 deaths per
100,000 population |
The five-year total age adjusted and crude mortality rates across
Florida counties are chromatically depicted below. Note that the
age-adjusted rates are significantly lower than the crude rate. Many
counties that fall into the third and fourth quartiles using the crude
rate are in lower quartiles when the age-adjusted rate is used. The
reverse is true for some counties, while other counties remain in the
same relative quartile when either rate is used. The age-adjusted
mortality rates give a more accurate view of death rates in Florida
because they control for the differences in age structure from county
to county.
 |